The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Denloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Team Den
Shadow Shaman
Demon · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Mjz · 1 game
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 1 game
Chaos Knight
Demon · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
Frank · 1 game
Elder Titan
Mjz · 1 game
Jakiro
Mjz · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Wits · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
492 picks · 574 bans
Jakiro
488 picks · 443 bans
Ringmaster
453 picks · 232 bans
Terrorblade
356 picks · 717 bans
Ancient Apparition
323 picks · 734 bans
Storm Spirit
322 picks · 502 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 263 bans
Windranger
299 picks · 93 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team Den
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:13
Infamous 53%Team Den 47%
The model gave 53% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 44:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendAlone
TerrorbladeWits
SlardarJP
EnigmaFrank
Nature's Prophetsl4d1n-
Naga SirenMjz
OracleCHAAANNN
RikiDemon
Game 2prediction correct40:39
Infamous 55%Team Den 45%
The model gave 55% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 48:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SniperAlone
Troll WarlordWits
SlardarJP
Centaur WarrunnerFrank
PhoenixCHAAANNN
Earth SpiritDemon
Rikisl4d1n-
OracleMjz
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 59%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2