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INVie · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Unknownwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 13 games
62%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
ILICH- · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 6 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
PiPi · 6 games
50%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%

Team Unknown

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 7 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
drakeel · 7 games
29%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Wij · 7 games
29%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Wij · 6 games
67%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Berna · 5 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 5 games
20%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
drakeel · 4 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Robo-Z · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
420 picks · 197 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
387 picks · 575 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
383 picks · 875 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
368 picks · 205 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
350 picks · 326 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
315 picks · 230 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
285 picks · 388 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
271 picks · 364 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 27%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:27
Infamous 69%Team Unknown 31%
The model gave 69% on Infamous — the game was taken by Team Unknown in 31:43.
Game 2prediction missed43:29
Infamous 69%Team Unknown 31%
The model gave 69% on Infamous — the game was taken by Team Unknown in 47:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 69%
Series resultTeam Unknown 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2