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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 8 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Sacred · 6 games
83%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Michael · 6 games
67%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
20%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
100%

Thunder Awaken

Mars
Marsoften banned
Frank · 13 games
15%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Mjz · 7 games
0%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 7 games
43%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Mnz · 6 games
17%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
20%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 4 games
25%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 4 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
288 picks · 431 bans
49%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
270 picks · 403 bans
43%
Monkey King
Monkey King
263 picks · 674 bans
60%
Bane
Bane
256 picks · 194 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
236 picks · 477 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
222 picks · 122 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
213 picks · 257 bans
44%
Lina
Lina
212 picks · 481 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 36%
Hero pool strength67% Infamous
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total71% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:41
Infamous 29%Thunder Awaken 71%
The model gave 71% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 33:12.
Game 2prediction correct9:23
Infamous 29%Thunder Awaken 71%
The model gave 71% on Thunder Awaken — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 30:17.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 71%
Series resultThunder Awaken 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2