Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
x5 Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Miranasignature
Nuages · 23 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Nuages · 18 games
Dawnbreakersignature
Oscar · 11 games
Rubick
Jupiter · 10 games
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
mini-` · 9 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Hyko · 9 games
Beastmastersignature
Hyko · 8 games
x5 Gaming
Abaddonoften banned
Benny · 4 games
Mirana
Wij · 4 games
Enchantress
FCR · 3 games
Death Prophetoften banned
FCR · 2 games
Witch Doctor
FCR · 2 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Benny · 1 game
Dark Seeroften banned
FCR · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Wij · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
914 picks · 620 bans
Tiny
643 picks · 448 bans
Nature's Prophet
543 picks · 872 bans
Treant Protector
538 picks · 545 bans
Tusk
538 picks · 438 bans
Snapfire
485 picks · 332 bans
Death Prophet
471 picks · 1022 bans
Clockwerk
443 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 73%
Hero pool strength50% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% x5 Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:30
Infamous 50%x5 Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 27:22.
Game 2prediction correct40:16
Infamous 50%x5 Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on x5 Gaming — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 25:11.
Model check result
Model favoritex5 Gaming · 50%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2