BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XXxXxXXxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 7 games
Lunaoften banned
Berna · 6 games
Tinyoften banned
Michael · 6 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Sacred · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Pamplona · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
XxXxXXx
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
273 picks · 150 bans
Mars
262 picks · 347 bans
Lina
255 picks · 511 bans
Tidehunter
251 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
230 picks · 330 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 480 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 296 bans
Shadow Demon
219 picks · 230 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% XxXxXXx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% XxXxXXx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:19
Infamous 50%XxXxXXx 50%
The model gave 50% on XxXxXXx — the game was taken by Infamous in 45:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DawnbreakerLumière
LunaMnz
WeaverSacred
LinaLeostyle
TinyMichael
UndyingFrank
SilencerAccel
SnapfireMoOz
57% · 35 games
Ogre MagiMjz
Game 2prediction correct24:40
Infamous 49%XxXxXXx 51%
The model gave 51% on XxXxXXx — the game was taken by XxXxXXx in 42:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterLumière
UrsaMnz
Legion CommanderSacred
UnderlordFrank
Earth SpiritMichael
Void SpiritLeostyle
IoAccel
SnapfireMoOz
51% · 31 game
Ogre MagiMjz
Model check result
Model favoriteXxXxXXx · 51%
Accuracy by game1 of 2