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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 1:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:1
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 8 games
38%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Nuages · 7 games
43%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 7 games
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 7 games
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Genek · 6 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Hyko · 5 games
80%

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 34 games
56%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Speeed · 9 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 9 games
44%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 9 games
78%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 8 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
albinozebra · 8 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Speeed · 8 games
88%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
435 picks · 439 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
432 picks · 286 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
421 picks · 392 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
317 picks · 320 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
282 picks · 337 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
255 picks · 134 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
231 picks · 606 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
225 picks · 159 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:41
Infinity Esports 48%5RATFORCESTAFF 52%
The model gave 52% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 40:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeDaaD-
51% · 131 game51% · 179 games
Leshracred2
Leshrac
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritLeostyle
43% · 311 games57% · 146 games
BroodmotherSpeeed
Broodmother
Primal Beast
Primal BeastOscar
52% · 163 games54% · 91 game
Slarkdnm
Slark
Snapfire
SnapfireGenek
40% · 324 games51% · 120 games
Silenceralbinozebra
Silencer
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerPrada
48% · 220 games53% · 613 games
TinyLil_Nick
Tiny
Game 2prediction missed39:38
Infinity Esports 46%5RATFORCESTAFF 54%
The model gave 54% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 39:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracLeostyle
50% · 167 games51% · 93 games
Lifestealerdnm
Lifestealer
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightDaaD-
51% · 144 games51% · 123 games
Kunkkared2
Kunkka
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerOscar
48% · 142 games55% · 241 game
TuskSpeeed
Tusk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkGenek
48% · 251 game50% · 237 games
RubickLil_Nick
Rubick
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenPrada
45% · 162 games53% · 172 games
Treant Protectoralbinozebra
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2