PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Foward Observation Grouploss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Techies
Hyko · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 5 games
Grimstroke
Yadomi · 5 games
Foward Observation Group
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
406 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
404 picks · 337 bans
Weaver
383 picks · 821 bans
Tiny
377 picks · 880 bans
Phoenix
357 picks · 724 bans
Pangolier
333 picks · 512 bans
Clockwerk
326 picks · 491 bans
Dark Seer
293 picks · 669 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:18
Infinity Esports 69%Foward Observation Group 31%
The model gave 69% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 34:43.
Game 2prediction correct38:20
Infinity Esports 69%Foward Observation Group 31%
The model gave 69% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 32:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 69%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2