Claro Gaming Apu League Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Elder Titan
Nuages · 7 games
Mirana
Jupiter · 7 games
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 6 games
Abaddonoften banned
Nuages · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
mini-` · 4 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
Benny · 4 games
Lunaoften banned
Benny · 4 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jupiter · 4 games
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
486 picks · 197 bans
Snapfire
384 picks · 210 bans
Mars
371 picks · 600 bans
Puck
361 picks · 884 bans
Grimstroke
334 picks · 311 bans
Tiny
327 picks · 248 bans
Ancient Apparition
320 picks · 458 bans
Nyx Assassin
305 picks · 588 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 39%
Hero pool strength55% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total55% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 55%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictioncorrect