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PGL Wallachia Season 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 1:3
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:3
Looking for Orgwin 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Techies
Techies
Hyko · 12 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 9 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 9 games
44%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
75%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 8 games
38%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Demon · 6 games
67%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%

Looking for Org

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
434 picks · 368 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
424 picks · 462 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
390 picks · 837 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 868 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
371 picks · 768 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 531 bans
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 508 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 617 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Infinity Esports 33%Looking for Org 67%
The model gave 67% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Game 2prediction correct
Infinity Esports 33%Looking for Org 67%
The model gave 67% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Game 3prediction missed
Infinity Esports 33%Looking for Org 67%
The model gave 67% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 4prediction correct
Infinity Esports 33%Looking for Org 67%
The model gave 67% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org.
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 67%
Series resultLooking for Org 1:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4