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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NoPing VPNloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Lina
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
43%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 6 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
83%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
67%
Techies
Techies
Demon · 6 games
17%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Yadomi · 5 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Yadomi · 5 games
60%

NoPing VPN

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctoroften banned
CHAAANNN · 3 games
33%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
hFn · 2 games
50%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Demon · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
0%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
Demon · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
hFn · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
418 picks · 609 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 384 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
360 picks · 144 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
357 picks · 469 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
319 picks · 577 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
319 picks · 154 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 663 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
315 picks · 436 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:17
Infinity Esports 53%NoPing VPN 47%
The model gave 53% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 34:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistLumière
57% · 87 games46% · 154 games
Ember Spirit4dr
Ember Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritPiPi
51% · 225 games45% · 201 game
PangolierOscar
Pangolier
Visage
VisageFCR
45% · 37 games51% · 153 games
GyrocopterhFn
Gyrocopter
Pudge
PudgeHyko
50% · 50 games47% · 121 game
ClockwerkDemon
Clockwerk
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenGardick
57% · 230 gameslittle data
Ogre MagiJupiter
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction correct25:16
Infinity Esports 52%NoPing VPN 48%
The model gave 52% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 32:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistLumière
56% · 116 games47% · 106 games
SvenhFn
Sven
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritPiPi
56% · 195 games48% · 145 games
Ember Spirit4dr
Ember Spirit
Dazzle
DazzleFCR
54% · 43 games48% · 84 games
DoomOscar
Doom
Marci
MarciHyko
53% · 78 games46% · 94 games
HoodwinkDemon
Hoodwink
Pugna
PugnaGardick
47% · 149 games45% · 152 games
PhoenixJupiter
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 53%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2