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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Invoker
Invokersignature
mini-` · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Valquiria · 5 games
100%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Nuages · 5 games
60%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Benny · 3 games
67%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Jupiter · 3 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Valquiria · 2 games
0%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 2 games
100%

Omega Gaming

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Demon · 4 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Demon · 4 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
ShakaLord · 3 games
67%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Lissex · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Mingatte · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Lissex · 2 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Mingatte · 2 games
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Mingatte · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
377 picks · 533 bans
47%
Bane
Bane
374 picks · 267 bans
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
333 picks · 207 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
316 picks · 735 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
256 picks · 340 bans
50%
Io
Io
244 picks · 615 bans
51%
Disruptor
Disruptor
241 picks · 156 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
240 picks · 309 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:31
Infinity Esports 59%Omega Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 38:09.
Game 2prediction missed29:33
Infinity Esports 59%Omega Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Omega Gaming in 39:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 59%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2