ESL One Birmingham 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
South Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Kiri · 3 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Frank · 2 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Gyrocopter
Prada · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Leostyle · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
Mnz · 2 games
Rubick
Kiri · 2 games
South Team
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ArzenT · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Grimstrokeoften banned
Wij · 1 game
Hoodwink
Wij · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
MonHty · 1 game
Legion Commanderoften banned
ArzenT · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
JP · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
297 picks · 432 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 406 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Tusk
227 picks · 206 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 631 bans
Lion
224 picks · 202 bans
Vengeful Spirit
221 picks · 114 bans
Pangolier
214 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength52% South Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Infinity Esports 62%South Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by South Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 62%
Series resultSouth Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1