Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Aravawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Rubick
Kiri · 15 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 10 games
Clockwerk
Prada · 8 games
Doomoften banned
Frank · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
Snapfire
Kiri · 7 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Adrx · 7 games
Tiny
Kiri · 7 games
Team Arava
Dark Seeroften banned
Blizzy · 1 game
Earth Spiritoften banned
Zayac · 1 game
Lion
Zayac · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Phoenix
Zayac · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Askold · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Askold · 1 game
Snapfire
Blizzy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 210 bans
Techies
344 picks · 372 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 532 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 548 bans
Morphling
301 picks · 601 bans
Undying
293 picks · 490 bans
Timbersaw
284 picks · 679 bans
Storm Spirit
263 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Team Arava
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:23
Infinity Esports 79%Team Arava 21%
The model gave 79% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Team Arava in 37:00.
Game 2prediction missed18:41
Infinity Esports 79%Team Arava 21%
The model gave 79% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Team Arava in 33:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 79%
Series resultTeam Arava 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2