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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportswin 2:0
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team DogChamploss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Nuages · 10 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Jupiter · 10 games
70%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 10 games
90%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 7 games
57%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
mini-` · 6 games
83%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mr.Jeans · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mr.Jeans · 5 games
40%

Team DogChamp

Bane
Banesignature
Bloody Nine · 13 games
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
yarintheslayer · 12 games
67%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Bloody Nine · 10 games
60%
Marci
Marcisignature
yarintheslayer · 10 games
80%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
RCY · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 9 games
44%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
yarintheslayer · 8 games
63%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernoften banned
yarintheslayer · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
368 picks · 579 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
326 picks · 570 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
317 picks · 209 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
238 picks · 331 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
238 picks · 464 bans
53%
Enigma
Enigma
226 picks · 731 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
208 picks · 245 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
207 picks · 303 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Infinity Esports 47%Team DogChamp 53%
The model gave 53% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Game 2prediction missed
Infinity Esports 47%Team DogChamp 53%
The model gave 53% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Infinity Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 53%
Series resultInfinity Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2