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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
FTSloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 19 games
32%
Kez
Kezoften banned
423 · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 11 games
45%
Bane
Banesignature
Se · 9 games
89%
Rubick
Rubick
Fernans · 9 games
33%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
Se · 9 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 8 games
25%
Underlord
Underlordoften banned
laise · 8 games
38%

FTS

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Katsura · 4 games
25%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
elmo^^ · 3 games
33%
Mirana
Mirana
raregods · 3 games
33%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Katsura · 3 games
0%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
cutie · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Katsura · 2 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Katsura · 2 games
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
raregods · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
489 picks · 332 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 463 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 531 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
324 picks · 503 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 653 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
291 picks · 321 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
275 picks · 203 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Inner Circle
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total50% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Inner Circle 50%FTS 50%
The model gave 50% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 50%
Series resultInner Circle 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1