BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:1series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Stelswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
Warlock
Se · 29 games
Tusk
Fernans · 28 games
Jakirooften banned
Se · 25 games
Marsoften banned
Norma · 23 games
Puckoften banned
niche · 23 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 19 games
Team Stels
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Rubick
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% Team Stels
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Inner Circle 66%Team Stels 34%
The model gave 66% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Team Stels.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 66%
Series resultTeam Stels 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1