?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
VP.Prodigywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Inner Circle

Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 23 games
52%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 22 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 22 games
41%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 18 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
41%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 14 games
50%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
laise · 14 games
50%

VP.Prodigy

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
JANTER · 28 games
64%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
raregods · 25 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
raregods · 24 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
raregods · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Katsura · 17 games
59%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
takizawa · 16 games
19%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
cutie · 15 games
80%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Serenada · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
611 picks · 394 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
513 picks · 286 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 579 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 385 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
422 picks · 589 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 962 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 283 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 498 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% VP.Prodigy
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total60% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:39
Inner Circle 54%VP.Prodigy 46%
The model gave 54% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 42:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawlaise
49% · 108 games51% · 75 games
Drow Rangercutie
Drow Ranger
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend423
47% · 152 games49% · 132 games
Keeper of the LightSerenada
Keeper of the Light
Void Spirit
Void SpiritStojkov
46% · 124 games52% · 150 games
LargoMiyaoo
Largo
Rubick
RubickFernans
51% · 164 games43% · 109 games
Techiesraregods
Techies
Bane
BaneSe
56% · 82 games56% · 164 games
Treant ProtectorJANTER
Treant Protector
Game 2prediction missed17:53
Inner Circle 58%VP.Prodigy 42%
The model gave 58% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by VP.Prodigy in 50:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Largo
Largolaise
61% · 179 games47% · 450 games
Storm SpiritSerenada
Storm Spirit
Drow Ranger
Drow Ranger423
49% · 73 games42% · 493 games
Tinycutie
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritStojkov
55% · 544 games50% · 209 games
DoomMiyaoo
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinkFernans
53% · 552 games44% · 141 game
Techiesraregods
Techies
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSe
49% · 197 games51% · 252 games
RingmasterJANTER
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 60%
Series resultVP.Prodigy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2