The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
CTcincai teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
cincai team
Treant Protectoroften banned
TrazaM · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Red · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
MangO · 2 games
Axeoften banned
TrazaM · 1 game
Bane
TrazaM · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 428 bans
Rubick
548 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
490 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 400 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 636 bans
Puck
356 picks · 1018 bans
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 537 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 301 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:49
InterActive Philippines 63%cincai team 37%
The model gave 63% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by cincai team in 48:15.
Game 2prediction correct24:27
InterActive Philippines 63%cincai team 37%
The model gave 63% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 38:21.
Game 3prediction correct35:41
InterActive Philippines 63%cincai team 37%
The model gave 63% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 1:04:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 63%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3