BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DDirebornloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Leshrac
Nishababy · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Direborn
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
300 picks · 751 bans
Disruptor
291 picks · 264 bans
Shadow Shaman
271 picks · 173 bans
Pugna
262 picks · 283 bans
Dawnbreaker
259 picks · 702 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 243 bans
Marci
253 picks · 709 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 581 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Direborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 58%Direborn 42%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Game 2prediction missed
InterActive Philippines 58%Direborn 42%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Direborn.
Game 3prediction correct
InterActive Philippines 58%Direborn 42%
The model gave 58% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 58%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3