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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. ЮВА. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippineswin 2:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Hopeloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

InterActive Philippines

No games played over 6 months.

Hope

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
789 picks · 536 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
564 picks · 401 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
534 picks · 440 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
530 picks · 575 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
433 picks · 709 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
401 picks · 793 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
401 picks · 297 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
367 picks · 830 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed52:43
InterActive Philippines 52%Hope 48%
The model gave 52% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by Hope in 56:15.
Game 2prediction correct44:20
InterActive Philippines 52%Hope 48%
The model gave 52% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 39:03.
Game 3prediction correct31:16
InterActive Philippines 52%Hope 48%
The model gave 52% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 29:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 52%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3