DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The MongolZwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Nishababy · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Leshrac
Nishababy · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
The MongolZ
Doomoften banned
JG · 3 games
Dragon Knight
Bob · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
DJ · 3 games
Tusk
DJ · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Bob · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
DJ · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 686 bans
Shadow Shaman
289 picks · 179 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 249 bans
Dawnbreaker
255 picks · 650 bans
Disruptor
252 picks · 216 bans
Dark Willow
249 picks · 105 bans
Marci
244 picks · 589 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 538 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% The MongolZ
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total60% The MongolZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:30
InterActive Philippines 40%The MongolZ 60%
The model gave 60% on The MongolZ — the game was taken by The MongolZ in 34:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe MongolZ · 60%
Series resultThe MongolZ 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1