?
arrow_backBack to match
Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BAZA Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Immersion · 6 games
17%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 6 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kidaro · 6 games
17%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Xibbe · 6 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Kidaro · 6 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kidaro · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 4 games
25%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Supream^ · 4 games
50%

BAZA Esports

Rubick
Rubick
weebian · 4 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mastery · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
weebian · 3 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Mastery · 2 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Mastery · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Mastery · 1 game
100%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Mastery · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
weebian · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
848 picks · 597 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
612 picks · 421 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
527 picks · 541 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
517 picks · 428 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
507 picks · 812 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
454 picks · 310 bans
47%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
453 picks · 937 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
403 picks · 291 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 57%
Hero pool strength58% BAZA Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:11
Into The Breach 51%BAZA Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 23:15.
Game 2prediction correct36:7
Into The Breach 51%BAZA Esports 49%
The model gave 51% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 19:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 51%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2