Last-Last Chance · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 20 games
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 20 games
Tinysignature
Ari · 18 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 11 games
Hoodwink
Ari · 10 games
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
cybercats
Hoodwink
Fezor · 38 games
Clockwerk
Hduo · 22 games
Visagesignature
DkFogas · 21 game
Marcioften banned
Hduo · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 19 games
Dazzlesignature
Hduo · 16 games
Doomsignature
Fezor · 16 games
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
468 picks · 344 bans
Marci
450 picks · 661 bans
Undying
316 picks · 529 bans
Death Prophet
275 picks · 436 bans
Enigma
263 picks · 825 bans
Puck
259 picks · 588 bans
Pangolier
256 picks · 358 bans
Batrider
242 picks · 824 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:15
Into The Breach 55%cybercats 45%
The model gave 55% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 23:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkOtaker
Bloodseekerkrylat
BeastmasterXibbe
TuskEgor
Storm SpiritSupream^
ViperDkFogas
SnapfireAri
MarciFezor
Crystal MaidenKidaro
JakiroHduo
Game 2prediction correct20:15
Into The Breach 54%cybercats 46%
The model gave 54% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 23:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeOtaker
Shadow Fiendkrylat
LeshracSupream^
PangolierEgor
LycanXibbe
UndyingDkFogas
Shadow ShamanAri
Hoodwinkillusion
DisruptorKidaro
Elder TitanHduo
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 58%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2