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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:0
D2 Hustlersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Rubick
Rubick
Immersion · 12 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 8 games
38%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Xibbe · 8 games
38%
Mirana
Mirana
RESPECT · 8 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 8 games
38%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kidaro · 8 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Xibbe · 8 games
25%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xibbe · 7 games
43%

D2 Hustlers

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
1002 picks · 690 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
651 picks · 481 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
600 picks · 953 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
553 picks · 433 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
533 picks · 361 bans
45%
Disruptor
Disruptor
527 picks · 384 bans
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1190 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
503 picks · 378 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 64%
Hero pool strength55% D2 Hustlers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% D2 Hustlers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:10
Into The Breach 31%D2 Hustlers 69%
The model gave 69% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 34:19.
Game 2prediction missed44:17
Into The Breach 31%D2 Hustlers 69%
The model gave 69% on D2 Hustlers — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 37:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteD2 Hustlers · 69%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2