Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachloss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 17 games
Tinysignature
Ari · 16 games
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 11 games
Pudgesignature
Otaker · 10 games
Dazzle
Kidaro · 9 games
Lycansignature
Xibbe · 9 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 9 games
Slarksignature
Otaker · 8 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 336 bans
Tusk
332 picks · 328 bans
Mirana
230 picks · 240 bans
Crystal Maiden
220 picks · 145 bans
Pangolier
202 picks · 536 bans
Rubick
200 picks · 168 bans
Leshrac
196 picks · 413 bans
Silencer
185 picks · 224 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 30%
Hero pool strength57% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total75% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:22
Into The Breach 25%Entity 75%
The model gave 75% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 39:27.
Game 2prediction correct32:33
Into The Breach 25%Entity 75%
The model gave 75% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 1:05:09.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 75%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2