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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hippomaniacsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Invoker
Invokersignature
Supream^ · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Chessie · 6 games
83%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Xibbe · 6 games
67%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Xibbe · 6 games
83%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
80%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Charlie · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
Era · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Era · 5 games
40%

Hippomaniacs

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
406 picks · 976 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
377 picks · 529 bans
51%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
344 picks · 715 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 561 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
332 picks · 334 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
307 picks · 167 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
302 picks · 224 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
271 picks · 283 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 21%
Hero pool strength63% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:17
Into The Breach 79%Hippomaniacs 21%
The model gave 79% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 28:27.
Game 2prediction correct36:10
Into The Breach 79%Hippomaniacs 21%
The model gave 79% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 24:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 79%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2