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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Mars
Marssignature
Chessie · 7 games
86%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Xibbe · 7 games
86%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Supream^ · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Xibbe · 6 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Xibbe · 5 games
80%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Charlie · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
Era · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Supream^ · 5 games
40%

No Bounty Hunter

Rubick
Rubick
ntakii · 19 games
47%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
NARMAN · 17 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 15 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Flash · 14 games
71%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
NARMAN · 13 games
69%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
ntakii · 11 games
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
BliNcc · 9 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
ntakii · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
404 picks · 989 bans
49%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
354 picks · 525 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
346 picks · 570 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
338 picks · 339 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
335 picks · 700 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
318 picks · 175 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
303 picks · 229 bans
51%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 283 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 36%
Hero pool strength56% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct47:46
Into The Breach 58%No Bounty Hunter 42%
The model gave 58% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 42:12.
Game 2prediction correct44:23
Into The Breach 58%No Bounty Hunter 42%
The model gave 58% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 30:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 58%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2