1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SG e-sportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
Enigmasignature
Xibbe · 13 games
Tinysignature
Ari · 13 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Supream^ · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Kidaro · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 9 games
Hoodwink
Ari · 9 games
Terrorbladesignature
Otaker · 9 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Supream^ · 9 games
SG e-sports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
738 picks · 565 bans
Puck
527 picks · 1039 bans
Dawnbreaker
472 picks · 626 bans
Marci
433 picks · 775 bans
Winter Wyvern
370 picks · 404 bans
Snapfire
344 picks · 176 bans
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
Razor
317 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 38%
Hero pool strength58% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:41
Into The Breach 63%SG e-sports 37%
The model gave 63% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 53:19.
Game 2prediction correct44:15
Into The Breach 63%SG e-sports 37%
The model gave 63% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 26:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 63%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2