Into The Breach vs Winter Bear — prediction DPC2S—ЗЕ 2 · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3

result vs prediction

Into The Breachwin 2:0

series probability

59%41%

probability at match start · final 2:0

Winter Bearloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

Snapfiresignature

Era · 11 games

64%

Marsoften banned

Xibbe · 10 games

50%

Banesignature

Peksu · 8 games

63%

Monkey Kingoften banned

Era · 8 games

50%

Storm Spiritsignature

Bor@nija · 7 games

71%

Tidehunteroften banned

Xibbe · 7 games

57%

Linaoften banned

Bor@nija · 6 games

50%

Void Spiritsignature

Bor@nija · 6 games

67%

Winter Bear

Omniknightoften banned

Flash · 7 games

57%

Gyrocopter

Exotic Deer · 6 games

33%

Snapfire

Ekki · 5 games

40%

Puckoften banned

ntakii · 4 games

25%

Tusk

Ekki · 4 games

50%

Weaveroften banned

Ekki · 4 games

50%

Wraith Kingoften banned

Exotic Deer · 4 games

75%

Tinyoften banned

Exotic Deer · 3 games

33%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Bane

458 picks · 265 bans

56%

Mars

404 picks · 561 bans

55%

Tiny

344 picks · 397 bans

52%

Death Prophet

331 picks · 667 bans

53%

Ember Spirit

297 picks · 430 bans

53%

Sand King

290 picks · 365 bans

53%

Weaver

290 picks · 346 bans

52%

Templar Assassin

262 picks · 561 bans

55%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)29% vs 43%

Hero pool strength55% Into The Breach

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total59% Into The Breach

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct21:9

Into The Breach 59%Winter Bear 41%

The model gave 59% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 28:00.

Game 2prediction correct34:12

Into The Breach 59%Winter Bear 41%

The model gave 59% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Into The Breach in 31:49.

Model check result

Model favoriteInto The Breach · 59%

Series resultInto The Breach 2:0

Series predictioncorrect

Accuracy by game2 of 2