DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Azure Raywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Clockwerk
fy · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
fy · 17 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 13 games
Batrideroften banned
fy · 12 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
lou · 12 games
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 12 games
Snapfire
fy · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
348 picks · 258 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 276 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 453 bans
Rubick
322 picks · 311 bans
Hoodwink
318 picks · 368 bans
Windranger
307 picks · 415 bans
Dragon Knight
299 picks · 466 bans
Enchantress
292 picks · 510 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:4
Invictus Gaming 45%Azure Ray 55%
The model gave 55% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 27:40.
Game 2prediction correct34:13
Invictus Gaming 45%Azure Ray 55%
The model gave 55% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 32:20.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 55%
Series resultAzure Ray 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2