i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Elephantloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Elephant
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
392 picks · 174 bans
Hoodwink
354 picks · 129 bans
Dragon Knight
270 picks · 355 bans
Nyx Assassin
270 picks · 553 bans
Mars
259 picks · 409 bans
Winter Wyvern
257 picks · 244 bans
Puck
251 picks · 552 bans
Lina
248 picks · 391 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 70%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total57% Elephant
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:10
Invictus Gaming 43%Elephant 57%
The model gave 57% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 24:47.
Game 2prediction correct21:13
Invictus Gaming 43%Elephant 57%
The model gave 57% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 28:18.
Game 3prediction correct43:33
Invictus Gaming 43%Elephant 57%
The model gave 57% on Elephant — the game was taken by Elephant in 56:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteElephant · 57%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3