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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Evil Rabbitloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Evil Rabbit

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 5 games
20%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
QYQX · 4 games
25%
Lina
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 4 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Irving · 4 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 3 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
QYQX · 3 games
33%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
QYQX · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
355 picks · 344 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
350 picks · 401 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
46%
Pangolier
Pangolier
325 picks · 502 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 265 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
292 picks · 305 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
282 picks · 389 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
280 picks · 459 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Invictus Gaming 66%Evil Rabbit 34%
The model gave 66% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed21:8
Invictus Gaming 66%Evil Rabbit 34%
The model gave 66% on Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Evil Rabbit in 33:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 66%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2