Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 1:2series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
LGD Gaming
Pangoliersignature
Xiao8 · 22 games
Banesignature
y` · 21 game
Elder Titansignature
y` · 15 games
Kunkkasignature
NothingToSay · 15 games
Snapfiresignature
XinQ · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Faith_bian · 14 games
Lycansignature
Faith_bian · 13 games
Leshracsignature
Xiao8 · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
489 picks · 352 bans
Mars
444 picks · 647 bans
Queen of Pain
381 picks · 474 bans
Weaver
377 picks · 828 bans
Snapfire
367 picks · 191 bans
Kunkka
297 picks · 498 bans
Spirit Breaker
286 picks · 446 bans
Ember Spirit
261 picks · 351 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 71%
Hero pool strength65% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total87% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:39
Invictus Gaming 13%LGD Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 41:57.
Game 2prediction correct30:15
Invictus Gaming 13%LGD Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 28:40.
Game 3prediction correct37:31
Invictus Gaming 13%LGD Gaming 87%
The model gave 87% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 38:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 87%
Series resultLGD Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3