i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
452 picks · 176 bans
Snapfire
339 picks · 191 bans
Mars
337 picks · 538 bans
Puck
317 picks · 796 bans
Ancient Apparition
316 picks · 477 bans
Nyx Assassin
311 picks · 619 bans
Tiny
290 picks · 233 bans
Enchantress
284 picks · 363 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total74% Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInvictus Gaming · 74%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 0:2
Series predictionmissed