i-League 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritoften banned
Ori · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 16 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 16 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 13 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 13 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
406 picks · 990 bans
Void Spirit
349 picks · 524 bans
Mars
347 picks · 569 bans
Grimstroke
340 picks · 339 bans
Death Prophet
332 picks · 701 bans
Lion
319 picks · 177 bans
Tusk
304 picks · 226 bans
Earth Spirit
269 picks · 281 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 51%
Hero pool strength60% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total52% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:18
Invictus Gaming 48%Vici Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 29:54.
Game 2prediction correct13:24
Invictus Gaming 48%Vici Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 20:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 52%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2