WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vici Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 23 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 18 games
Grimstroke
Dy · 17 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 17 games
Death Prophetsignature
Dy · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
ELeVeN · 16 games
Elder Titansignature
Dy · 15 games
Leshracsignature
Ori · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
387 picks · 1001 bans
Lion
385 picks · 215 bans
Mars
374 picks · 629 bans
Grimstroke
363 picks · 360 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 184 bans
Tiny
292 picks · 203 bans
Tusk
292 picks · 221 bans
Death Prophet
276 picks · 612 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:9
Invictus Gaming 46%Vici Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 19:34.
Game 2prediction correct21:5
Invictus Gaming 46%Vici Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 25:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2