i-League 2021 Season 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Vici Gaming
Grimstroke
Dy · 26 games
Void Spiritsignature
Ori · 24 games
Marsoften banned
ELeVeN · 23 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 22 games
Timbersawsignature
ELeVeN · 22 games
Earth Spirit
Pyw · 21 game
Dragon Knightsignature
Ori · 20 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Ori · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
410 picks · 190 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 134 bans
Nyx Assassin
297 picks · 602 bans
Puck
283 picks · 621 bans
Dragon Knight
281 picks · 359 bans
Mars
281 picks · 470 bans
Winter Wyvern
270 picks · 237 bans
Lina
250 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total54% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 54%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect