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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Ken · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 10 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Teehee · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Karma丶 · 7 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 6 games
17%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Rupido · 6 games
17%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 22 games
36%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 15 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 11 games
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 11 games
45%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
607 picks · 556 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
525 picks · 410 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
466 picks · 525 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
464 picks · 412 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
458 picks · 232 bans
58%
Warlock
Warlock
398 picks · 245 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
389 picks · 1021 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
387 picks · 901 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ivory 28%Nemiga Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct
Ivory 28%Nemiga Gaming 72%
The model gave 72% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 72%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2