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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Ken · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 10 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Teehee · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Karma丶 · 7 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 6 games
17%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Rupido · 6 games
17%

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 48 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 42 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 37 games
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 37 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 26 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
614 picks · 572 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 415 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 410 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
457 picks · 522 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
450 picks · 228 bans
57%
Warlock
Warlock
401 picks · 250 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1034 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
387 picks · 898 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 47%
Hero pool strength57% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ivory 43%Rune Eaters 57%
The model gave 57% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Game 2prediction correct
Ivory 43%Rune Eaters 57%
The model gave 57% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 57%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2