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BLAST Slam VI. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ivorywin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Teklaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Dric~ · 5 games
20%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ken · 5 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Teehee · 4 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 4 games
25%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 4 games
25%
Bane
Bane
Teehee · 3 games
33%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Ken · 3 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Teehee · 3 games
67%

Tekla

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 5 games
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Abat · 2 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Abat · 2 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 2 games
50%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Abat · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Yowe · 2 games
50%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseeker
Abat · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Yowe · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
608 picks · 623 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
514 picks · 329 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
512 picks · 691 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
510 picks · 197 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
457 picks · 225 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
443 picks · 533 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
405 picks · 554 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
387 picks · 555 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Tekla
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Tekla
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:7
Ivory 45%Tekla 55%
The model gave 55% on Tekla — the game was taken by Ivory in 29:09.
Game 2prediction missed37:19
Ivory 45%Tekla 55%
The model gave 55% on Tekla — the game was taken by Ivory in 36:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTekla · 55%
Series resultIvory 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2