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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
B8 Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Mars
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 10 games
30%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 7 games
43%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Lowskill · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
60%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Copy · 4 games
25%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 4 games
25%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Copy · 4 games
50%

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 19 games
21%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 17 games
47%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
v1olent- · 16 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
519 picks · 367 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
464 picks · 662 bans
50%
Weaver
Weaver
406 picks · 858 bans
56%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
405 picks · 504 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
316 picks · 526 bans
55%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
304 picks · 482 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
267 picks · 352 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 9%
Hero pool strength53% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% IVY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:33
IVY 57%B8 Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on IVY — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 35:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzLowskill
52% · 19 games56% · 77 games
Terrorbladev1olent-
Terrorblade
Dark Seer
Dark SeerTheBloodySky
55% · 70 games46% · 170 games
PuckDendi
Puck
Tiny
TinyMo13ei
48% · 157 games47% · 44 games
MagnuspJonn
Magnus
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerQupe
48% · 131 game53% · 91 game
Dark WillowLagoona
Dark Willow
Visage
Visagejmn-
22% · 5 games
Game 2prediction missed28:43
IVY 55%B8 Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on IVY — the game was taken by B8 Esports in 58:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingLowskill
44% · 129 games48% · 184 games
Lunav1olent-
Luna
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTheBloodySky
53% · 139 games52% · 323 games
PuckDendi
Puck
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMo13ei
52% · 217 games46% · 163 games
KunkkapJonn
Kunkka
Snapfire
SnapfireQupe
47% · 232 games56% · 170 games
MiranaLagoona
Mirana
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonjmn-
52% · 123 games
Model check result
Model favoriteIVY · 58%
Series resultB8 Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2