Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO1
result vs prediction
IVYwin 1:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BRBatman ridersloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVY
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 6 games
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
jmn- · 5 games
Bane
jmn- · 4 games
Batman riders
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 370 bans
Queen of Pain
480 picks · 578 bans
Mars
447 picks · 605 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 776 bans
Snapfire
365 picks · 175 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Wraith King
287 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)17% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Batman riders
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Batman riders
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteBatman riders · 60%
Series resultIVY 1:0
Series predictionmissed