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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Zorka Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IVY

Tiny
Tinysignature
Mo13ei · 35 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Max · 19 games
68%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Qupe · 14 games
64%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Max · 14 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
jmn- · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Qupe · 13 games
46%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 13 games
54%
Mirana
Mirana
Qupe · 13 games
54%

Zorka Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
674 picks · 528 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
476 picks · 728 bans
52%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
475 picks · 625 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
451 picks · 931 bans
55%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
356 picks · 421 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
310 picks · 396 bans
45%
Razor
Razor
286 picks · 518 bans
52%
Dazzle
Dazzle
274 picks · 166 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% IVY
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% IVY
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:49
IVY 55%Zorka Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on IVY — the game was taken by Zorka Gaming in 44:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaLowskill
47% · 86 games48% · 51 game
Pudgedizzying
Pudge
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMax
43% · 252 games53% · 174 games
LinaMiyaoo
Lina
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMo13ei
47% · 229 games51% · 112 games
Undyingklassnokruto
Undying
Earthshaker
EarthshakerQupe
56% · 95 games50% · 374 games
TinyOneJey
Tiny
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorjmn-
54% · 87 games54% · 38 games
Crystal MaidenArti_Shock
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed16:49
IVY 56%Zorka Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on IVY — the game was taken by Zorka Gaming in 40:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeLowskill
48% · 161 game49% · 126 games
LinaMiyaoo
Lina
Batrider
BatriderMo13ei
47% · 138 games54% · 100 games
Faceless Voiddizzying
Faceless Void
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMax
56% · 183 games45% · 57 games
Phoenixklassnokruto
Phoenix
Chen
Chenjmn-
51% · 101 game48% · 307 games
TinyOneJey
Tiny
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQupe
53% · 65 games49% · 58 games
Crystal MaidenArti_Shock
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoriteIVY · 61%
Series resultZorka Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2