ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionJAJackky and friendsloss 1:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jackky and friends
No games played over 6 months.
PlayTime
Kunkka
JG · 1 game
Phantom Assassin
Gabbi · 1 game
Viperoften banned
Armel · 1 game
Warlock
Kuku · 1 game
Windranger
DJ · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
558 picks · 738 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 646 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 631 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% PlayTime
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Jackky and friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:12
Jackky and friends 61%PlayTime 39%
The model gave 61% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 39:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon KnightJaCkky
AbaddonGabbi
Queen of PainEmo
LeshracArmel
MarsJabz
TidehunterJG
SnapfireQ
VenomancerKuku
PhoenixOli
TuskDJ
Game 2prediction missed15:38
Jackky and friends 60%PlayTime 40%
The model gave 60% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by PlayTime in 38:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautJaCkky
Phantom AssassinGabbi
LeshracEmo
Storm SpiritArmel
MarsJabz
DawnbreakerJG
Shadow DemonQ
MuertaDJ
JakiroOli
Treant ProtectorKuku
Game 3prediction missed2:36
Jackky and friends 62%PlayTime 38%
The model gave 62% on Jackky and friends — the game was taken by PlayTime in 25:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void SpiritEmo
Monkey KingGabbi
UrsaJaCkky
PuckArmel
SlardarJabz
DawnbreakerJG
Shadow ShamanQ
PhoenixKuku
PugnaOli
TuskDJ
Model check result
Model favoriteJackky and friends · 70%
Series resultPlayTime 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3