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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Jackky and friendsloss 0:2
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
REKONIXwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Jackky and friends

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 5 games
100%
Tusk
Tusk
Q · 4 games
25%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkka
Jabz · 3 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Jabz · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Oli · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Jabz · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Jabz · 2 games
100%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
inYourdreaM · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
532 picks · 774 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
492 picks · 346 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 637 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 553 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 671 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 569 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 463 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
326 picks · 145 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 70%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Jackky and friends
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:25
Jackky and friends 48%REKONIX 52%
The model gave 52% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 36:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckEmo
45% · 306 games65% · 154 games
Naga SirenTraVins
Naga Siren
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterJaCkky
47% · 236 games47% · 187 games
AxeFbz
Axe
Doom
DoomJabz
52% · 173 games53% · 298 games
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
Ember Spirit
Enchantress
EnchantressOli
49% · 146 games51% · 108 games
Pudgedalul
Pudge
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerQ
42% · 47 games47% · 161 game
PhoenixVarizh
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct15:30
Jackky and friends 50%REKONIX 50%
The model gave 50% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 36:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
51% · 198 games49% · 27 games
KezTraVins
Kez
Invoker
InvokerEmo
57% · 87 games50% · 252 games
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
Centaur Warrunner
Slardar
SlardarJabz
50% · 183 games47% · 45 games
ViperinYourdreaM
Viper
Phoenix
PhoenixOli
43% · 127 games58% · 37 games
MiranaVarizh
Mirana
Dark Willow
Dark WillowQ
45% · 172 games51% · 406 games
Tuskdalul
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteJackky and friends · 51%
Series resultREKONIX 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2