ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionJAJackky and friendswin 1:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Kukuysloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jackky and friends
No games played over 6 months.
Team Kukuys
Marssignature
JG · 9 games
Tusk
DJ · 8 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Gabbi · 7 games
Disruptor
DJ · 6 games
Pucksignature
Armel · 6 games
Snapfire
DJ · 6 games
Bane
Kuku · 5 games
Leshrac
Armel · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
566 picks · 738 bans
Tusk
505 picks · 357 bans
Dragon Knight
478 picks · 648 bans
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 551 bans
Shadow Demon
380 picks · 630 bans
Gyrocopter
370 picks · 545 bans
Snapfire
369 picks · 124 bans
Hoodwink
367 picks · 178 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Team Kukuys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Team Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:17
Jackky and friends 38%Team Kukuys 62%
The model gave 62% on Team Kukuys — the game was taken by Jackky and friends in 33:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Kukuys · 62%
Series resultJackky and friends 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1