The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Jazzloss 0:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GSgambling specialistswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jazz
Centaur Warrunner
Norma · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
спортик · 1 game
Lion
Resolut1on · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Yuragi · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
asdekor_r · 1 game
gambling specialists
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 406 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 294 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 389 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 609 bans
Puck
346 picks · 980 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% gambling specialists
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Jazz
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed17:29
Jazz 69%gambling specialists 31%
The model gave 69% on Jazz — the game was taken by gambling specialists in 45:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteJazz · 69%
Series resultgambling specialists 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1