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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Jigglinwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Türkiyeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Jigglin

Batrider
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
100%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
83%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
80%
Meepo
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
100%

Team Türkiye

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 15 games
53%
Lich
Lich
Stoic · 13 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 9 games
78%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 9 games
56%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
G.T.I · 8 games
63%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Stoic · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
476 picks · 416 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
434 picks · 569 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
433 picks · 229 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
432 picks · 536 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
427 picks · 503 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 750 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 588 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
363 picks · 416 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 45%
Hero pool strength59% Jigglin
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:35
Jigglin 77%Team Türkiye 23%
The model gave 77% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Team Türkiye in 30:56.
Game 2prediction missed40:32
Jigglin 77%Team Türkiye 23%
The model gave 77% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Team Türkiye in 54:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 77%
Series resultJigglin 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2