Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
JustBetterwin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
JustBetter
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 7 games
Batridersignature
Astral · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
SkyLark · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 4 games
Grimstroke
SsaSpartan · 4 games
Hoodwink
Astral · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 4 games
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
489 picks · 217 bans
Tiny
434 picks · 638 bans
Batrider
417 picks · 725 bans
Centaur Warrunner
407 picks · 576 bans
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
Rubick
391 picks · 164 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 795 bans
Shadow Demon
342 picks · 952 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 27%
Hero pool strength56% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
JustBetter 75%HAVU Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Game 2prediction correct
JustBetter 75%HAVU Gaming 25%
The model gave 75% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 75%
Series resultJustBetter 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2