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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
JustBetterloss 0:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

JustBetter

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 4 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Astral · 3 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Astral · 3 games
33%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Panda · 3 games
0%

Natus Vincere Junior

Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 30 games
43%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Riddys · 23 games
52%
Lion
Lion
Riddys · 20 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 19 games
37%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
gotthejuice · 17 games
29%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
gotthejuice · 15 games
60%
Pugna
Pugna
Riddys · 15 games
47%
Marci
Marcisignature
Daze · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
383 picks · 355 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 573 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 528 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
346 picks · 336 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
342 picks · 269 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
326 picks · 659 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
315 picks · 190 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
303 picks · 311 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total56% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
JustBetter 44%Natus Vincere Junior 56%
The model gave 56% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Game 2prediction correct
JustBetter 44%Natus Vincere Junior 56%
The model gave 56% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 56%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2